How Our Technical Analysis Navigates Markets
Explore a selection of unlocked research notes and case studies, showing how our work navigates real market conditions. Explore Our Research OfferingsOur Analysis in Action
Explore a selection of market deep dives examining how our technical analysis has framed different market conditions, navigated uncertainty, and identified major inflection points across global markets.
Separating Narrative from Structure: Why We Didn’t Become USD Bears in 2020
The growing consensus saw the beginning of a secular USD bear market. Our structural analysis suggested a near-term decline could instead set the conditions for a bullish reversal.
Technical analysis outlook for the DXY showing the key inflection zone for the near-term scenarios, 23 March 2020.
Latest Unlocked Research Notes
MCP Market Update: October 8th, 2018 – Yields Break
Last week we finally saw US bonds break major support (TLT 116) that we have been watching closely. This is a major turning point for risk assets in a debt fuelled world and in particular, its effect on Emerging Market debt which when combined with a strengthening US...
MCP Market Update: July 1st, 2018 – Calm before the Storm
Last week we discussed our thesis for a potential market top in risk assets in "Has the Music Stopped?". In Part 2 - "Calm before the storm" we examine in more detail the potential market structures unfolding in global equity markets. We remain tactically bearish...
Brief Equity Market Update: Triangles
Elliott Wave Triangles usually occur in 4th waves. They occur when a market has rallied too far too fast and the market needs to correct time and price in a primary trend. The exponential SPX rally from August 2017 through to end January highlighted below is a perfect...
MCP Market Update: January 16th, 2018 – Blow-off or Acceleration?
Reminder: As I will be on vacation from January 29th through to February 16th, we will likely miss updates for the 5th and 12th of February - apologies in advance US equity markets continued to rally strongly to the point of rising exponentially over the first couple...
MCP Market Update: January 2nd, 2018 – The Year Ahead
As we look forward towards 2018, let's focus on some bigger picture themes: Global Central Bank money printing and interest rate suppression has distorted financial markets pushing investors further out on the risk spectrum. This is at a time when global debt and...