Macro Briefing Notes

The Macro Outlook for w/c 22 April 2024

Key events this week – US PCE Inflation & Q1 GDP, BoJ meeting, Aus CPI Q1, Global flash PMIs Apr Recap from last week Last week, US consumer and domestic investment spending lifted Q1 GDP growth projections. The latest Atlanta Fed GDP Nowcast for US Q1 GDP growth...

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The Macro Outlook for w/c 15 April 2024

Key events this week – US retail sales & housing data, US Fed Chair Powell, CPI’s Mar; Canada, Japan, UK, NZ, and the Euro Area Recap from last week Central bank meetings and minutes underscored shifts in confidence regarding the favorability of inflation...

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The Macro Outlook for w/c 8 April 2024

Key events this week – US CPI & PPI, FOMC Minutes, ECB, BoC, & RBNZ meetings Recap from last week US economic activity has maintained a robust pace of growth so far in the first quarter, with strong labor market conditions persisting through March. In this...

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The Macro Outlook for w/c 1 April 2024

Key events this week – US non-farm payrolls, US Fed Chair Powell speech, ISM & S&P PMIs, ECB & RBA minutes Recap from last week US PCE inflation data for Feb was mixed. Headline US PCE inflation was in line with expectations at +2.4% and was unchanged...

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The Macro Outlook for w/c 25 March 2024

Key events this week – US PCE Inflation, US Fed speeches; Powell, Waller, and Cook Recap from last week Rate cut expectations firmed across several central banks following meetings and inflation reports last week. The exception is the Bank of Japan. In the US, the...

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The Macro Outlook for w/c 18 March 2024

Key events this week – Central bank decisions; FOMC, BoJ, RBA, BoE, and SNB, CPI inflation; Japan, UK, Canada, and Euro Area, US housing data, and G4 prelim PMIs for Mar Recap from last week The US CPI report indicated that progress on disinflation may have stalled...

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The Macro Outlook for w/c 11 March 2024

Key events this week – US: CPI & PPI, retail sales, and industrial production Recap from last week US data last week indicated minimal change in the labor market and growth outlook for the FOMC in two weeks. Although US labor market conditions are gradually...

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The Macro Outlook for w/c 4 March 2024

Key events this week; US Non-Farm Payrolls, US Fed Chair Powell testimony, ECB & BoC Monetary Policy Meetings Recap from last week US PCE inflation, spending, and broader activity data painted a mixed picture last week. US PCE inflation came in as expected with...

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The Macro Outlook for w/c 26 February 2024

Key events this week; Inflation - US PCE inflation, Euro Area CPI, Japanese CPI, Aus CPI; US & Canada Q4 GDP; RBNZ Rates Decision Recap from last week Central bank minutes and speeches were in focus last week. The message theme from the FOMC & ECB minutes and...

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The Macro Outlook for w/c 19 February 2024

Key events this week – Central bank minutes - FOMC, RBA, & ECB; US Fed speeches - Waller, Jefferson, Cook; Inflation - Euro Area CPI, Canada CPI & Aus wages; Prelim S&P PMIs Feb Recap from last week US headline CPI for Jan came in higher than expected but...

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