How Our Technical Analysis Navigates Markets
Explore a selection of unlocked research notes and case studies, showing how our work navigates real market conditions. Explore Our Research OfferingsOur Analysis in Action
Explore a selection of market deep dives examining how our technical analysis has framed different market conditions, navigated uncertainty, and identified major inflection points across global markets.
Separating Narrative from Structure: Why We Didn’t Become USD Bears in 2020
The growing consensus saw the beginning of a secular USD bear market. Our structural analysis suggested a near-term decline could instead set the conditions for a bullish reversal.
Technical analysis outlook for the DXY showing the key inflection zone for the near-term scenarios, 23 March 2020.
Latest Unlocked Research Notes
MCP Market Update: January 4th, 2021- The Year Ahead: Super-cycle High
As we head into 2021 with the tailwinds of historic fiscal and monetary stimulus coupled with a speculative "Tulip" mania (see Bitcoin, SPAC, Robinhood, etc) it is important to take note of WHERE we are in the cycle. We are nearing the very end of a super-cycle degree...
MCP Market Update: March 23rd, 2020 – Preservation of Capital
Last week saw a continued liquidation of global risk. Our expectation was that the decline had not ended and we were looking for wave (v) of the decline. Last week's 2-way price volatility warned of a likely 4th wave as the markets continued to stair step lower. We...
MCP Market Update: January 12th 2020 – The Year Ahead: In the Fed we trust???
Note: Due to the continuing bush-fire threat in our region, Kim and I have decided to take a well earned vacation in the USA. We will be skiing for a few weeks in the hope that the fire threat will have subsided on our return. One day this low volatility across asset...
MCP Market Update: November 25th, 2019 – Happy Thanksgiving
Last week, equities saw a corrective decline in what is likely a continued bullish impulse wave C of (B). Bonds continued to rally to complete an impulse up from recent swing lows. The US dollar refuses to roll over, calling into question the bearish count. The big...
MCP Market Update: January 22nd, 2019 – The Year Ahead: Hope springs eternal
In 2018, we were looking for a topping equity market, rising rates and strengthening US dollar as central banks reduced liquidity. Global fundamentals of debt, deflation and slowing growth will continue to provide headwinds throughout 2019. The question is how long...