How Our Technical Analysis Navigates Markets
Explore a selection of unlocked research notes and case studies, showing how our work navigates real market conditions. Explore Our Research OfferingsMCP Market Update: March 23rd, 2020 – Preservation of Capital
Last week saw a continued liquidation of global risk. Our expectation was that the decline had not ended and we were looking for wave (v) of the decline. Last week's 2-way price volatility warned of a likely 4th wave as the markets continued to stair step lower. We...
MCP Market Update: January 12th 2020 – The Year Ahead: In the Fed we trust???
Note: Due to the continuing bush-fire threat in our region, Kim and I have decided to take a well earned vacation in the USA. We will be skiing for a few weeks in the hope that the fire threat will have subsided on our return. One day this low volatility across asset...
MCP Market Update: November 25th, 2019 – Happy Thanksgiving
Last week, equities saw a corrective decline in what is likely a continued bullish impulse wave C of (B). Bonds continued to rally to complete an impulse up from recent swing lows. The US dollar refuses to roll over, calling into question the bearish count. The big...
MCP Market Update: January 22nd, 2019 – The Year Ahead: Hope springs eternal
In 2018, we were looking for a topping equity market, rising rates and strengthening US dollar as central banks reduced liquidity. Global fundamentals of debt, deflation and slowing growth will continue to provide headwinds throughout 2019. The question is how long...
MCP Market Update: October 8th, 2018 – Yields Break
Last week we finally saw US bonds break major support (TLT 116) that we have been watching closely. This is a major turning point for risk assets in a debt fuelled world and in particular, its effect on Emerging Market debt which when combined with a strengthening US...