Weekly Macro Outlook: The Inflation Test

This Weekly Macro Outlook highlights the key economic data releases, central bank events & speeches, and macro themes shaping global markets for the week of July 13, 2026.

Key Focus This Week:

  • Central banks: Fed Chair Warsh testimony, Governors Waller & Cook – Economic Outlook speeches, BoC Monetary Policy Meeting
  • Major data: US CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, Housing, & Output data (June), China GDP
  • Key themes: Geopolitical – Risk of US-Iran conflict escalation returns
(more…)

Weekly Macro Outlook: Retaining Optionality

This Weekly Macro Outlook highlights the key economic data releases, central bank events & speeches, and macro themes shaping global markets for the week of July 6, 2026.

Key Focus This Week:

  • Central banks: FOMC Minutes, RBNZ Monetary Policy Meeting, European System of Central Banks Conference & US Fed Governor Waller panel discussion, BoC Outlook Survey
  • Major data: ISM Services PMI, S&P Global Services PMI’s, Canada Labour Market
  • Key themes: receding geopolitical threats
(more…)

Weekly Macro Outlook: The Fed’s Policy Latitude

This Weekly Macro Outlook highlights the key economic data releases, central bank events & speeches, and macro themes shaping global markets for the week of June 29, 2026.

Key Focus This Week:

  • Central banks: ECB Forum on Central Banking, Sintra – panel discussion including Fed Chair Warsh, RBA Minutes
  • Major data: US labor market update Jun, ISM manufacturing PMI, Euro area CPI prelim Jun
  • Key themes: Normalisation in the Strait of Hormuz, USMCA 6-year anniversary to trigger renegotiation
(more…)

Weekly Macro Outlook: Evolving Balance of Risks

This Weekly Macro Outlook highlights the key economic data releases, central bank events & speeches, and macro themes shaping global markets for the week of June 22, 2026.

Key Focus This Week:

  • Central banks: Speeches – Fed, RBA, ECB, BoC
  • Major data: US PCE inflation, spending & income, US GDP Q1 Final, Canada & Tokyo CPI, Aus CPI & labour market, S&P Prelim PMIs
  • Key themes: Strait of Hormuz open, UK PM/leadership change
(more…)

Weekly Macro Outlook: Underlying Inflation Risks

This Weekly Macro Outlook highlights the key economic data releases, central bank events & speeches, and macro themes shaping global markets for the week of June 15, 2026.

Key Focus This Week:

  • Central banks: FOMC (New Fed Chair Warsh), RBA, BoJ, BoE, SNB meetings
  • Major data: US Retail Sales, UK and Japan CPI
  • Key themes: Progress on the Iran conflict resolution, UK by-election, G7 meeting
(more…)