Jay Powell was the grinch that stole Xmas in the final FOMC press conference of the year. His hawkish pivot shocked the markets as equities reversed sharply lower as rates and the US$ rallied. The equity leaders (Nasdaq and SPX) reversed impulsively lower to potentially form a near term tradable top but bears need to […]

Last week, the narrowing leadership in equities continued with the Nasdaq indices pushing to new ATH's while the DJIA and Russell sold off strongly. This narrowing leadership is warning of potential trend exhaustion as we look for a Nasdaq reversal to help confirm a tradable top. The benchmark SPX continues to consolidate near ATH's in […]

Equities extended higher last week with the Nasdaq and SPX leading the way. The DJIA and Russell continued to lag as rates declined and the US$ fell, warning of a deteriorating growth outlook. The question is whether the Nasdaq and SPX are impulsing strongly higher or forming an ending diagonal / wedge? It will be […]

Last week, equities pushed to marginal new ATH's with the exception of the Nasdaq indices as the primary bull trend continues unabated. This latest rally invalidated the near term bear reversal (as warned) and opens the door to a 5th wave extension or more bullish 3rd wave rally. Either way, the bull market rally appears […]

Last week, equities declined impulsively as expected into the 50 day sma support before rebounding sharply with the DJIA and Russell leading the charge. However, the cash SPX did not confirm the ES_F impulsive decline and the inability to break 50 day sma support warns that the bigger picture trend remains bullish. While the SPX […]