MCP Market Update: February 5th, 2024 – Tradable top?

Last week, equities continued to subdivide higher as expected and now have enough waves in place to complete 5 waves up of mulltiple degrees. Note the 5th wave bearish momentum divergence across multiple timeframes that have the potential to end this rally. However, given the strength of this rally and break to new ATH's, the […]

MCP Market Update: January 29th, 2024 – Rally ending?

Last week, equities continued to subdivide higher in what is likely to be an ending 5th wave rally. We are now alert to a potential market top this week as we look for these final subdivisions to complete 5 waves up of multiple degrees. While there is no evidence yet of a tradable top, bearish […]

MCP Market Update: January 22nd, 2024 – Extend and pretend

Last week, equities rallied as anticipated and broke out to new ATH's in what appears to be a 5th wave extension. The SPX, DJIA and NDX all pushed to new ATH's to help broaden the rally. We had been looking for a final 5th wave rally in the DJIA, NYA and RSP to help set […]

MCP Market Update: January 15th, 2024 – 5th wave extension?

Equities rebounded last week as expected, but the rally in the leaders (SPX / NDX) appears impulsive while the laggards (Russell / DJIA) appear corrective - we therefore cannot discount the potential for a final 5th wave extension to marginal new highs to align with final 5th wave rallies in the DJIA, RSP and NYA. […]

MCP Market Update: January 8th, 2024 – Resistance holds

Last week, global equities declined sharply from ATH resistance to start the new year with what appears to be an impulsive decline. The risk markets were highly correlated as the US$ (DXY), rates and equities all reversed strongly from year end trends. The DXY led the way as expected with a clearly impulsive rally up […]