MCP Market Update: November 20th, 2023 – Key Inflection

Last week, equity markets continued to rally strongly on the back of a benign CPI and falling rates. The Nasdaq, SPX and DJIA continued to impulse higher while the Russell 2000, RSP and NYA lagged in what appear to be corrective rallies so far. The strength of this rally continues to warn that the bull […]

MCP Market Update: November 13th, 2023 – Impulsive rally

Last week, equity markets extended higher for what appears to be an impulsive rally for wave (a) or (i) of a larger degree advance. Near term, there are enough waves in place to complete 5 waves of the initial impulse so we should be alert to the potential for a corrective retracement. Bonds continue to […]

MCP Market Update: November 6th, 2023 – Relief rally

Last week, equities rallied sharply for what is expected to be a relief rally and short covering following completion of the 5 wave decline as warned last week. The initial rally from support is likely to be wave (a) up of a larger degree (a)-(b)-(c) correction. Importantly, both the rates markets and US$ reversed sharply […]

MCP Market Update: October 30th, 2023 – Bears take control

Last week global equities extended recent declines into 5 waves to help confirm the bigger picture bearish change in trend. Importantly, the benchmark SPX / ES declined so far as to overlap its wave 1 / A high and confirm a corrective 3 wave rally from the October 2022 lows. The bears have taken control […]

MCP Market Update: October 23rd, 2023 – Bulls fumble

Last week, equities reversed sharply lower from resistance as geopolitical risks escalated. This is an important juncture for global risk markets. If equities push to new cycle lows, the corrective decline will be invalidated and bears likely take control from a big picture perspective with a bearish change in trend. Gold and Silver continued to […]