MCP Market Update: June 12th, 2023 – Fed Inflection

Last week, equities pushed marginally higher to potentially complete another small degree impulsive rally in the SPX and DJIA. The question is whether this is an ending wave (SPX) as we have been anticipating or just the start of a stronger 3rd wave rally (DJIA)? This week's FOMC will be key to a number of […]

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MCP Market Update: June 5th, 2023 – Goldilocks…

Equity markets extended their respective rallies late last week as investors embraced the NFP induced goldilocks rally where the economy seems not too hot, not too cold, but just right... OPEC+ extended production cuts over the weekend opening the door to a sharp Crude rally. The DXY and Euro are approaching equality targets while the […]

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MCP Market Update: May 29th, 2023 – Limited upside…

Last week, US equities maintained bullish momentum after a hard test of our 50 day sma support highlighted over the last few weeks. The best case for the bears is a "sell the news" bearish reversal after this push to marginal new highs in the SPX and Nasdaq indices. The US$ extended its rally across […]

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MCP Market Update: May 22nd, 2023 – Inter-market divergence

Last week, equities pushed to marginal new highs as expected but the structure appears incomplete. The gap between leaders (Nasdaq) and laggers (Russell) continued as the Nasdaq indices extended recent gains to push through our initial upside targets. The Russell remains range bound near its cycle lows and is at risk of breaking down. The […]

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MCP Market Update: May 15th, 2023 – Bull trap?

Equities have traded in a sideways consolidation for over a month now as investors search for direction. We do NOT have confirmation of a tradable top as markets have digested a slowing of the Fed hiking cycle, receding inflation and a moderately slowing economy. Commodities, commodity currencies and small caps are all warning of slowing […]

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