Macro Briefing Notes (unlocked)
The Macro Outlook for w/c 22 November 2021
Key themes for the week ahead – central banks, global growth momentum, and US inflation. It might be a shortened holiday week, but there will be much to digest. Central Banks The latest FOMC and ECB meeting minutes will be released. The next US Fed Chair is expected...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 15 November 2021
Key themes for the week ahead – inflation Inflation is the key theme for this week with several more CPI reports due for Oct. There will also be numerous US Fed speeches this week, the first look at US manufacturing momentum going into Nov, and US housing data for...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 8 November 2021
Key themes for the week ahead – inflation & central bank speeches It’s been a huge two weeks of central bank policy decisions. Central Banks acknowledged that inflation has not been as transitory as they had initially expected – due to persistent demand/supply...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 1 November 2021
Key themes for the week ahead – central bank policy decisions part 2, US payrolls, and global growth momentum. This is the second of two weeks of major central bank policy decisions. The context of these meetings is significant as markets continue to bring forward...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 25 October 2021
Key themes for the week ahead – central bank policy decisions, inflation, and US growth (tech earnings too). This will be the first of two weeks of major central bank policy decisions. This week: the BoC, BoJ, and ECB. Next week: the RBA, FOMC, and BoE. Policy...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 18 October 2021
Key themes for the week ahead – growth momentum & output, inflation, and US housing data. A quieter week on the data front, but a lot of Fed speak this week. There will be US Fed speeches on most days this week. Chair Powell was expected to speak later in the week...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 11 October 2021
Key themes for the week ahead – US inflation, Fed taper signalling, and rates. Despite the headline disappointment, US payrolls growth was interpreted as good enough to keep a possible taper announcement on track for Nov (FOMC 3 Nov 2021). This week, we’ll watch the...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 4 October 2021
The focus for the week ahead will be on US non-farm payrolls and several central bank meetings. This week the RBA and RBNZ will meet to review monetary policy settings. The RBA is expected to hold rates unchanged at 0.10%. There is a chance that the RBNZ will raise...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 27 September 2021
The focus for the week ahead will be on US Fed and central bank speeches, and inflation data. This week, the ECB will host the Forum on Central Banking on 28-29 Sep. US Fed Chair Powell will take part along with other major central bank leaders. There is potential for...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 20 September 2021
The focus for the week ahead will be firmly on the US FOMC policy decision and a notable number of other central bank meetings. The FOMC will meet this week and submit new economic projections (SEP). The policy decision is likely to include a timeline for tapering –...