Macro Briefing Notes (unlocked)
The Macro Outlook for w/c 3 May 2021
Data this week should continue to demonstrate a stronger pace of recovery in the US – due in part to the substantial stimulus support and the vaccine rollout. The key data highlights are US Non-Farm Payrolls and the US ISM PMI’s. Global Markit PMI’s will also be in...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 26 April 2021
This will be a big week with more central bank meetings (FOMC and BoJ) and key data releases. The US FOMC will meet this week with the policy decision due on Wed. No change is expected to the current policy settings. There is some anticipation around how the messaging...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 19 April 2021
A quiet week on the data front with the prelim PMI’s for Apr and US housing data for Mar the key highlights for the week. There will be less activity on the central bank front this week too. The main events are the ECB rates and policy meeting on Thur and the release...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 12 April 2021
The inflation debate is likely to continue this week with the release of important US data and Fed speeches. The impact of the data flow on key Treasury auctions will be closely monitored. US CPI for Mar will be reported this week. Data are likely to remain noisy as...
The Weekly Macro Review and Outlook for w/c 5 April 2021
The weekly macro review for w/c 29 March 2021 - Mar is shaping up to be a solid end to Q1 for the US. Growth in nonfarm payrolls was stronger than expected. Growth in payrolls was recorded across both private and public sectors as the rollout of vaccinations begins to...
The Weekly Macro Review and Outlook for w/c 29 March 2021
The weekly macro review of w/c 22 March 2021 - The Chicago Fed National Activity Index report provided a good summation of economic activity in Feb - US economic growth fell to below average in Feb. Production, income, and consumption recorded notable declines in Feb....
The Macro Outlook for w/c 22 March 2021
The focus this week is on US economic data, Fed speeches including US Fed Chair Powell testimony, and US Treasury auctions. This will be an extremely busy week of Fed speeches with speeches scheduled for most days. US Fed Chair Powell will also provide testimony to...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 15 March 2021
This week is about central banks and more specifically, the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. We are looking for the Fed response to the rise in yields. The run-up in yields over the last few weeks has been met with varying responses. The RBA moved deftly to get the 3yr...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 8 March 2021
The focus this week will be on the ECB interest rate decision, key data releases, and approval of the US stimulus and relief bill. Base effects will start to become an important theme – especially for CPI. Data releases are starting to cycle over some of the periods...
The Macro Outlook for w/c 1 March 2021
The focus this week will be on US non-farm payrolls, final global PMI’s for Feb, the RBA rates decision, and several speeches by US Fed Chair Powell and US Fed Governor Brainard. The main data releases in the US include non-farm payrolls and the ISM reports on...