The Weekly Macro Outlook

Key events this week – US CPI Recap from last week Over the next two months, the ‘totality’ of US growth, inflation, and labor market data will be central in determining the next policy steps for the FOMC. The focus last week was on the US labor market and growth...

Key events this week – BoE & RBA monetary policy meetings, US non-farm payrolls, US ISM surveys, Euro area CPI prelim for Jul, global PMIs for Jul Recap from last week Both the FOMC and ECB hiked rates last week but provided limited forward guidance. Despite...

Key events this week – FOMC, ECB, and BoJ decisions, US PCE inflation, ECI & Q2 GDP, Aus CPI, prelim PMI’s Jul Recap from last week US data last week continued to reflect resilient results and little change in recent trends amid the higher rates environment. US...

Key events this week – US retail sales & housing, RBA minutes, Aus labor market, CPI reports; UK, Canada, NZ, Japan, and Eurozone Recap from last week US inflation continued to ease in Jun. The headline inflation rate slowed to +3.1% from +4.1% in May. Core CPI...

Key events this week – US CPI, RBNZ and BoC policy decisions, central bank speeches Recap from last week Global yields moved higher last week within the context of the FOMC Minutes and the decision to pause hikes, recent hawkish speeches, and a series of...

Key events this week – US non-farm payrolls, FOMC minutes, RBA rate decision, global PMIs Recap from last week The recent pulse of stronger-than-expected US data has cast doubt over the magnitude of the slow-down in the US economy. As recession expectations drift...

Key events this week – Inflation; US PCE, CPI for the Euro Area, Tokyo, Aus, and Canada, ECB Forum on Central Banking – policy panel with Fed Chair Powell, BoE Governor Bailey, ECB President Lagarde, and BoJ Governor Ueda Recap from last week If there has been a theme...

Key events this week – BoE policy meeting, Fed Chair Powell testimony, Fed Vice Chair nomination hearings, RBA Minutes, global flash PMI’s Jun Recap from last week; Monetary policy meetings spanned a broad spectrum of conditions last week. The FOMC paused hikes with...

Key events this week – Monetary policy decisions; FOMC, ECB, and the BoJ, US CPI & Retail Sales, Aus Employment, Euro Area CPI Recap from last week Both the RBA and BoC have restarted policy hikes, citing persistent inflation. The RBA hiked for the second month in...

Key events this week – US ISM Services PMI, RBA & BoC policy decisions, global services PMIs Recap from last week US labor market data provided conflicting signals from the latest non-farm payrolls report and household employment survey. But with so much monetary...