The Weekly Macro Outlook

The inflation debate is likely to continue this week with the release of important US data and Fed speeches. The impact of the data flow on key Treasury auctions will be closely monitored. US CPI for Mar will be reported this week. Data are likely to remain noisy as...

The weekly macro review for w/c 29 March 2021 - Mar is shaping up to be a solid end to Q1 for the US. Growth in nonfarm payrolls was stronger than expected. Growth in payrolls was recorded across both private and public sectors as the rollout of vaccinations begins to...

The weekly macro review of w/c 22 March 2021 - The Chicago Fed National Activity Index report provided a good summation of economic activity in Feb - US economic growth fell to below average in Feb. Production, income, and consumption recorded notable declines in Feb....

The focus this week is on US economic data, Fed speeches including US Fed Chair Powell testimony, and US Treasury auctions. This will be an extremely busy week of Fed speeches with speeches scheduled for most days. US Fed Chair Powell will also provide testimony to...

This week is about central banks and more specifically, the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. We are looking for the Fed response to the rise in yields. The run-up in yields over the last few weeks has been met with varying responses. The RBA moved deftly to get the 3yr...

The focus this week will be on the ECB interest rate decision, key data releases, and approval of the US stimulus and relief bill. Base effects will start to become an important theme – especially for CPI. Data releases are starting to cycle over some of the periods...

The focus this week will be on US non-farm payrolls, final global PMI’s for Feb, the RBA rates decision, and several speeches by US Fed Chair Powell and US Fed Governor Brainard. The main data releases in the US include non-farm payrolls and the ISM reports on...

The focus this week will be on US data, Fed speeches, and the passage of the next US stimulus bill through the House of Representatives. The main data releases in the US include personal income, expenditure, and prices for Jan, the final read on consumer sentiment for...

The focus this week will be on the pace of global growth momentum in Feb, Central Bank minutes, and the development of the next US stimulus package. The prelim global PMI’s for Feb will be released across the larger economies this week. While infection rates have...

A much quieter week on the data front. The main US data releases this week will be the University of Michigan consumer sentiment data for early Feb and CPI for Jan. We continue to follow the initial jobless claims as one of the higher frequency indicators of...